Posted on our Facebook Forum by Allan Coleman
Allan Coleman wrote:
As expected , the navs of our favorite Vanguard GNMA funds ( VFIIX & VFIJX ) DROPPED to $10.24 share price at the close today . The bond market traders may be finally getting the message that Bernanke and the Fed may ONLY cut rates by a quarter point next week and started pricing treasuries accordingly taking some profits now before having to unwind larger positions next week .Observations :
VFIJX = 4.09% ytd with a 5.25% yield
VMMXX = 3.61% ytd with a 5.06% yield as market money returns also possibily consider next weeks unwinding with a lower Fed funds rateVFIJX = 0.89% ytd with a lower 8.20% yield . Price on this Vanguard High - Yield ( junk ) bond fund has remained unchanged for the last four trading days and really hasn't moved much off $5.94 / $5.95 for the last 13 trading days while GNMAs have moved mostly up a dime .
Personally , I'll do further research tonite on buying this junk bond fund this week , well before the Fed acts next week and possibily making a second buy in this fund on the Fed decision announcement next week .
On GNMAs , looking to get another buy in this fund below $10.20 a share price . A fifth $101k purchase at $10.20 a share price would give this old surfer a average price of $10.00 a share since I made my first buy in June 22nd of 2006 .
P.S. Tom , my specific advice to you on your GNMA purchase is :
IF you think the Fed's going to CUT rates next week , you might consider making your GNMA buy BEFORE the Fed meeting announcement or the day of the announcement and take the closing nav price you'll get that day .
IF you think the Fed is going to HOLD , wait until AFTER the Fed announcement to make your purchase .
