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Wednesday, April 16, 2008

March Inflation Data Good News for TIPS and I-Bonds

I posted two articles worth reading. They are:
Vanguard's TIPS index fund (VIPSX) was up 11.59% in 2007 and is up 4.74% YTD in anticipation of these high inflation readings. With inflation expected to moderate, I don't expect to see this level of performance continue.
Disclaimer: I have a fairly large position in TIPS in both my personal account and some of the newsletter porfolios in "The Retirement Advisor" investment letter. I also recommend TIPS as part of a 3-item alternative to the easy to track "Total Bond Fund" in "Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Newsletter" where I may again recommend iBonds with these attractive rates.
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Come join us to discuss "I Bonds or iBonds" in our facebook forum "Investing for the long term."

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Chart: DOW Daily Closing Values

Some people believe the market will correct to test the DJIA high of 1999/2000 at 11,722 from above. I've indicated it with the dashed green line on this chart.
Click Chart for Full Size viewing

You can see from the chart that the dashed green "support line" was resistance in 2006. The DOW rallied from a bear market bottom in 2002 to this resistance line in 2006 then made a significant correction at that line before gathering strength to turn that resistance line into support.

In early 2007, the market tried to test that breakout from above, but did not test all the way back to the dashed green line. It is very close to this now so "big money" may already be waiting for this to hold before committing to the new money to the market.

Of course, on an intraday basis, we've already tested the 2000 high from above
and I've been adding shares here....

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Since 12/31/98 "Kirk's Newsletter Explore Portfolio" is UP 152% (a double plus another 52%!!) vs. the S&P500 UP a tiny 1.4% vs. NASDAQ down 3.8%!!! (All through 6/30/10)

In 2009, "Kirk's Newsletter Explore Portfolio" gained 33.5% vs. the DJIA up 18.8%

For 2010, as of 7/15/10, the explore portfolio is up 2.3% YTD
vs. DJIA
down 0.7% vs. S&P500 down 0.7%!
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