This week’s show had a wide array of topics and valuable information. 2007 was quickly reviewed noting the volatility, money new year resolutions were also discussed. A few client questions about suspect ads and solicitations were shared. Taxes were also a topic including information on the AMT relief bill passed on the last day congress was in session. Also covered were loans, college savings, and trusts. Sprinkling in a couple questions about International equities and fixed income investing, add in insurance, portfolio construction, and mutual fund distributions. I think one of best subjects was, do you really need diversity in financial advisors?
Ric is ready for 2007 to be over. It has been a volatile year in the
New Years resolutions, money is often near the top of the list. Some money themes include paying off debt, saving more, and making smarter decisions. Ric was floored by the last one. How do you define that? Decisions that work out well? Using that criteria you can’t know if it was smart or not until after the fact and that won’t help you. Instead Ric thinks it wise to make educated & informed decisions as opposed to shooting from the hip, gut instinct, or hold your nose and close your eyes. Ric went on to say investing is not just an art but also a science. There is an academic scientific approach to proper portfolio management. All to often that eludes most retail consumers and is available to big institutions. This is no longer true, if you have questions call and ask Ric or if you can’t get through on the air as always you are welcome to call his office during the week and his staff will be glad help you. The same number works for both situations 1-888-752-6742.
Edelman is in procession of a document from a very large well known money management firm that has published performance data for itself and it is not GIPS certified. It lacks their fee in the calculation of performance. It also does not include all the portfolios for all the clients. It is miss leading and not legitimate. For example they show a one year return of 24%. Only by reading the fine print you learn it is not Jan-Dec. it is July- June. Also buried in the fine print is this statement “back tested and model performances have certain limitations and do not reflect actual client performance. Actual client accounts vary significantly. The performance figures do not take into consideration actual trading, advisor fees, or transaction costs. All of which when deducted would reduce returns. The back tested performance results also differ from actual performance because it is achieved through the retroactive application of our models.” It would be funny if it weren’t so sad the lengths some will go to in order to drum up business.
In the final day of the Congressional session a crisis was averted for 20 million new victims of the AMT. The AMT, or Alternative Minimum Tax was put on hold for 2007. If they don’t act in 2008 35 million of us will get hit. The bill will cost $51 billion in lost revenues but spending was not cut to pay for it so we can pretty well count on taxes increasing in the future. In case you didn’t know the IRS will need 7 weeks to program the computers. If you have to file the AMT you filing will have to be delayed 5 weeks and if you are due a refund it could be delayed by as much as a month.
E.C. I've looked this over and find it a very useful starting point. If you are on track it will verify this for you.
Caller has a home equity variable line of credit that started at 8% and is now 7.25% and is wondering if that lowering trend will continue the next year or two. Ric’s answer, nobody knows for sure. The best advice is to convert it to a fixed rate. This should be in the six to seven percent range. If rates go up you’re happy if they go down refinance.
Caller noted
This caller is aware of a bank offering foreign CDs in one case from
Ric started hour two warning listeners that mutual funds have or will be making distributions that will trigger taxes in non sheltered accounts. This year those distributions are likely to be higher than normal due to the volatile year and funds doing disproportionate amount of trading. It is possible you could be facing a hefty tax bill, even on funds that lost money for the year. The way to avoid this problem is to seek funds with low turn over. Typically a good place to start your search is to look for institutional funds and exchange traded funds.
Caller has been in a home for 19 years and has a $200,000 mortgage in her name and that of her deceased spouse. They both have revocable living trusts set up and the lender is not aware of his passing. When she sells the house will she have to pay off the loan from the sale, his trust, or will she have to pay half the balance from her funds? Edelman said years ago trusts were used to avoid paying debts. That is not so prevalent today, trusts are an estate planning tool. Ric said it would be best to go to the attorney that set up the trust and get advised on how to structure the transaction.
Average daily cost of a private room in a nursing home is $209 daily, only $15 more than a semi-private room. A home health aid will cost you on average over $37 per hour. At some point one out of every two of those over age 65 will require long term care services. So be prepared.
Caller is 63 retired and collecting social security. He has $600,000 in IRAs at Fidelity. Last summer he was considering moving half or all of it to Ric’s firm. He was advised not to split it and only move half by an Edelman rep. He wanted to divide it in order to compare performance. Ric is not so concerned that he would only be moving half his money but the reason why. Generally investors are in the habit of trying things out before jumping in all the way, and this is a good attitude but it can be counter productive. If he moves half is account after a year the caller will discover one of the two accounts did better than the other. Edelman said the trap is the caller could make a long term investment decision based on one year’s data. This can lead to buying high or selling low. It is much better to use a long term perspective. Ric’s firm has been in business twenty years and uses a two hundred year history in the markets to build portfolios. Why make a long term investment decision on only one persons experience over one year? It is not that they want all his account or none. Ric sited several examples of folks trying something new before making a big commitment; with a new beverage do you sip or chug, we test drive cars before we buy them, check previews before going to the movies, ask about a new restaurant, look at a home before buying, people have even been known to date before getting married. This mind-set can be a problem in the investment advisor selection process. If you try a new drink and take a sip you can be sure all the other sips in that glass will be the same. Unfortunately that doesn’t work with investing. The performance of the next twelve months has nothing to do with the last twelve months or the next ten years after that. Many things that affect our investments are in a constant state of flux. Interest rates change, inflation changes, value of the Dollar changes, Stock market valuations change, the economic environment and political winds change. Social attitudes and natural disasters happen. All these things affect our investing performance. Some investors buy last years hot fund or sector only to be disappointed when they realize after the fact circumstances have changed and so have the returns they were expecting.
After the break Ric elaborated on splitting accounts among several advisors. He pointed out by doing so you could be making errors. No questions about it by having multiple accounts and advisors you do achieve diversification, or do you? You could be getting conflicting advice, then how do you decide which to follow? You could also be getting redundant advice and being over weighted or under weighted in certain asset classes. In this case you could end up doing more paper work and receiving no benefit. It is possible you will pay higher fees. Most firms charge based on account values and the rate decreases as the amount increases.
Caller has questions about off shore accounts and wants to know how to go about this. Ric got a good laugh when he asked why. The caller heard on the radio Former President Clinton has all his money in the
Caller owns a fund that hired a new manager they came in and sold a great deal of the holdings. Prior to cleaning house the fund price was around $21. The long term distribution was $9.41, the short term was $1.25. The total distribution was about 53% of the share value. It is a long term holding and the current value is below his cost when he bought it. If he sells it on Monday can he take it as a loss on his taxes. Edelman said yes he should do so and that will help off set the gains from the distribution. Use the proceeds to purchase a new investment. Just make sure you don’t buy back the same one unless you wait more than 30 days to avoid the wash sale rule. Ric said this a horrific example of the business practice of the retail mutual fund industry. Look at buying funds with low turn over in the past 5 or 10 years and how long the manage has been there. They on average stay four years and frequently like in this case the new manager sells many of the assets and triggers huge capital gains. Edelman said just because a fund is old and been in business for years don’t treat it like an old fund. If they get a new manager treat it like a new investment. When you get news of a manger change you might have to act.
E.C. might be a good idea to set a Google alert with you fund name.
Caller is looking at a 529 plan in
Caller’s husband is a retired teacher and they bought a long term care plan when they retired 19 years ago from Penn Treaty. The premiums have been going up dramatically the past few years. Ric says years ago Penn Treaty had a reputation for offering policies at a lower price than other companies then dramatically bumping them up. Edelman suggested looking at it from this stand point; If the premiums had not gone up they would have gone out of business and you’d have no coverage, what you are paying now is what you would have been paying all along with another policy, if you switch to a new policy now due to age the premiums will as high if not higher. Still it is worth checking into a new policy and compare. It is also a good idea to contact the State Insurance commissioner and see if Penn Treaty is financially sound.